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How to Plan for Your Fantasy Football Draft

(And why common sense trumps mathematical precision.)

Written by Lee Harmon, a mathematician, fantasy football die-hard and successful money-winner in Fantasy Football for many years.

Start by Preparing a Fantasy Football Cheat Sheet

It's hard to draft without player rankings. If you just pick your favorite players each round, you'll surely lose badly. A cheat sheet of player rankings, where you circle the players you picked and cross off the players everyone else picks, helps keep focus, so that you always know who the best available player is.

The difficulty comes when you have to choose between the best at one position and the best at another. Do you take the top running back or the top wide receiver in round three?

A Value-based draft list provides the answer. In Matthew Hill's rankings below, you'll see a tab labelled All, which ranks all positions together, so you can make educated decisions. But how does Matthew know whether a particular quarterback is more valuable than a particular running back?

Answer: He doesn't. Not really. And he'll be the first to tell you this, even though his rankings are invaluable for what they provide. This is because proper value-based ranking can really only be accomplished through an in-depth consideration of your league rules. It works like this:

What is Value Based Drafting

Let's take an example in a single-year league. Fantasy football keeper rankings are a different animal altogther, so we'll focus on single-year games. How do you determine a quarterback's value, in relation to all the other players?

First, you have to project each player's statistics for the year. These are called Fantasy Football Projections, and various services around the internet provide projections. For example, Quarterback X may be projected to score 30 touchdowns and throw for 4,000 yards. These projected statistics must be translated into fantasy points.

You set a "base value" somewhere in your list of quarterbacks, and hope your chosen base value isn't too arbitrary. For example, if you have 40 quarterbacks projected and ranked, you might decide 20 of them are draft-worthy without digging too deep, so you set the base value 20-deep.

All other quarterbacks above the base are then compared to the base according to their projected fantasy points. If the base-level quarterback at position 20 is expected to score 300 fantasy points this year, then each quarterback above him on the list is measured by his anticipated fantasy points above the base level of 300. This comparison to the base level provides us with a means of comparing players across positions. If the top running back left on your list is expected to score 100 points above the base level on your running back list, while the top quarterback remaining is expected to score 50 points above the base level on your quarterback list, then the running back is more valuable. In fact, he's roughly twice as valuable!

But where you set your base level greatly impacts your rankings. Should you count how many starting quarterbacks will be in your league, and set the base level at 12 deep? Should you figure everybody will draft at least two quarterbacks, and set the base level at 24? Or should reason prevail and you set your base somewhere in the middle...perhaps just a little deeper than 12, because you expect the bench quarterbacks to play just a little?

Had enough of the issues yet? Because all this is fine and well for preparing a mathematical solution, though a bit complex, but in fact the complexity runs much deeper than simple value-based drafting. Here are a number of additional factors that mathematical systems try to incorporate and good drafters tend to work into their draft strategy intuitively:

The Impact of Scoring Rules on Your Cheat Sheet

Of course the scoring rules of your league have a major impact on your ranking system. Your scoring system is what lets you build a value-based draft in the first place, by making it possible to project fantasy points scored, and different scoring rules can shift your rankings considerably.

Consider this: If quarterbacks receive 5 points per touchdown and 1 point for every 20 yards of passing, a top-level quarterback becomes much more valuable than if he received only 4 points per touchdown and 1 point for every 25 yards. Kickers in a distance-scoring league are more valuable than if they receive only 3 points per field goal, regardless of distance. Running backs in point-per-reception leagues are, of course, valued quite differently in standard scoring--that's quite obvious-- but the impact of PPR goes deeper than that. Because the scoring of receivers is higher in these leagues, the stand-out receivers stand out even more, meaning their value-based ranking climbs up the chart in relation to other positions, particularly quarterbacks, who never catch any passes at all.

Factoring in the Reliability of Projections

You may have noticed in the discussion of scoring systems that kickers should climb up the ranking system if they are playing under distance-scoring rules. This is because the top kickers will distance themselves more from the rest (pun intended).

And yet, no decent ranking system ever places kickers very high up on the list. Why not?

Because we all know intuitively that kicker rankings can't be trusted. Nobody can project how a kicker will do. Kicker rankings are comparatively unreliable. A kicker's value depends on his team's ability to get close to the end zone, but lack of ability to punch the ball over the line. You want your kicker's team to score 12 points, not 35.

Another reason for the difficulty in projecting kicker scoring is that kickers typically play the whole game, and play every play where a kicker is needed. Yes, you heard me right. It's easier to value one player above another when you have an idea of how much playing time or how often plays will be called for them in relation to other players. It's hard to measure opportunity when a player gets every opportunity. This is one reason why quarterbacks are hard to evaluate: They typically play the entire game, so something miraculous can happen at any time, and footballs take strange bounces. The same logic works even stronger for ranking defenses, making their projections even more unreliable than quarterbacks.

For these reasons, projections are to be trusted more for running backs and receivers than quarterbacks, and much more than that for defenses and kickers.

Does Roster Depth Matter?

The number of players at each position in your starting lineup strongly influences how a value-based ranking system sees them. Consider this: A standard lineup typically means playing 6 RB/WRs, while a flex lineup means playing 5 RB/WRs. Why would this matter?

Because value-based rankings depend heavily on that somewhat arbitrary base level you chose for each position. Because each team gets to play an extra running back or wide receiver, it follows that the base level for each of these positions should be dropped at least 6 spots, and probably more. The result is that all running backs and all wide receivers climb up the list.

Position Scarcity Means Adjusting Your Draft Plan

The running back position often suffers from position scarcity. Even though there may be enough quality running backs for every team to place a couple in their starting lineup, the fact is, many owners like to draft six or more running backs. We'll talk about why in a bit: for now, the important thing is that it happens. Therefore, the deeper your bench is, the more likely you're going to encounter scarcity at the running back position.

What this means is that running backs may be artificially overvalued. It shouldn't matter, but it does. In leagues where you must start a minimum of two RB's, you may find it prudent to bump running backs up just a little bit in your rankings, to make sure you don't get bitten by scarcity.

Position Durability Impacts Player Valuations

Position durability is a factor often not considered. The fact is, some positions suffer fewer injuries than others. Your starting running back is twice as likely to be injured as your starting quarterback. The bottom line is that quarterbacks are more likely to play, and thus get a bump up the ladder ahead of running backs.

Suppose you're in a flex league, where you only need to play one running back, and can play up to four wide receivers. Clearly, running back scarcity is not a factor in these leagues, and the multiple flex positions means there's little reason to rank running backs separately from wide receivers. But all things being considered, perhaps you should actually rank wide receivers a bit higher than running backs, on the simple logic that they're likely to play on average about one more game per year.

Perceived Value, and How to Use it to Your Advantage

Like running back scarcity, sometimes perceived value can artificially inflate rankings. I've noted, for example, that many drafters simply can't resist taking a quarterback a little earlier than normal. You may laugh at their mistakes and stick tight to your draft list, trusting in your system, but you may be doing yourself a disservice to think this way.

The truth is, you want to be ahead of the runs. Practice with mock drafts until you recognize the point where positions like quarterback or tight end hit a run. Then, just ahead of where you expect it to happen, carefully consider the value of reaching down the draft list a bit, hoping to be the one to kick off the run yourself.

While few cheat sheets will take perceived value into consideration, breaking the rules at the right time can yield surprising results. This comes only with practice.

Calculating the Value of Anticipated Starts

After you fill your starting lineup at the skill positions (QB/RB/WR/TE), what should you do next? Again, the answer is rather intuitive, rather than by simply trusting the draft list. Your decision must take into effect the number of starts you expect of your bench players.

Consider a typical standard lineup of 1QB/2RB/4WR/1TE (expecting a wide receiver to play in the flex spot). Then the best wide receiver on your bench is likely to play four times as often as the best quarterback on your bench.

Position durability also plays a role in anticipating the number of starts for your bench players, of course. Since running backs are injured more often than any other position, it follows that the running back(s) on your bench will be pressed into service far more often.

It's starting to look like your backup quarterback isn't so valuable, is he?

Anticipating Your Opponents' Picks

One thing a draft list cannot anticipate is your draft position. Each position, from 1 to 12, requires a little different strategy. I find that the draft spots most rich in strategy are close to the turn: perhaps position 3 and 10.

During the draft, every pick you make should come after evaluating the needs of the opponents who draft between your current pick and your next pick. This is especially true when you pick near the turn.

If your opponents owning the upcoming picks are short on running backs, be sure to bump the running backs a bit up your list. If they all already have their starting quarterback, be sure to drop all quarterbacks down your list a bit.

When To Draft Fantasy Football Sleepers and Handcuffs

In my mind, there are three types of draft picks:

  1. Starters, which you hope to play every game.
  2. Bench players, whom you draft to cover bye weeks and injuries. Most owners carry more bench players than necessary; most are never used all year.
  3. Sleepers (including handcuffs) whom you hope due to circumstances will turn into legitimate fantasy starters.

There is simply no reason to draft any other player. Therefore, after your starters and a few players drafted to sit on your bench, all the rest of your players must be drafted with upside in mind. Sleepers who show talent or the favoritism of the coach; backup running backs who may become bellcows if the starter is injured; players traded to a new team and given a new start; untested rookies.

So when should you take these players? Well, mathematically, one way to approach this question is to take a stab at guessing their chance of playing, and guessing how many games they are likely to contribute. Say, 20% of the games. Then you guess at their production if slotted into the starting lineup of their teams. Finally, you rank them at 20% of the value of a full-time starter at that level of production.

If you follow this exercise, you'll often discover something very interesting. Sleepers are often more valuable than your bench players, and in special circumstances should be drafted as early as the 7th or 8th round. This is a case where value-based ranking has no value at all, and in fact, distorts the true value of sleepers.

Strength of Schedule, and Weighing Some Weeks More than Others

Here's a little hint: Measuring strength of schedule is of very little value when valuing players for the year. There just isn't as much mathematical difference between weak and strong schedules as you would think, and defensive schemes and injuries change circumstances from week to week. It just isn't worth putting too much emphasis on strength of schedule.

However, it is very important to look at the weeks which do matter! You want your kickers and running backs to play weak defenses during the fantasy playoffs (the passing game doesn't suffer as much as the running game and the kicking game against a tough opponent). But there are other factors that you may not have considered.

  1. Among your playoff weeks, don't value the superbowl higher than the semi-finals. In fact, the semi-final matchups are even more important than the finals! This can be proven mathematically, but it should be intuitive with a little thought: If you lose the semi-finals, you won't even have a chance to play in the superbowl.
  2. Regarding the regular season, the early weeks are often more important than the later weeks. This, too, should be intuitive: Teams are more likely to give up after they begin to lose and put up less of a fight later in the season. Additionally, the players you expect to play are more likely to play early in the season than late, because of injury or other issues.

The Secret to Dominating Your Fantasy Football Draft

If you've gotten this far, you're either fascinated by a heuristic approach to player ranking, or you're determined to win. So how can you compete, given the utter complexity of proper value-based ranking?

Answer: common sense. A bit of common sense goes much further than searching out minute advantages mathematically. I'm convinced that the most effective draft strategy is to build and then lean on a good cheat sheet like Matthew's, but then to liberally break the rules by reaching down the list when your turn comes to find a player that you actually feel comfortable with. Know the statistical value but also know the players, know the circumstances under which they play, and use common sense to improve on the odds.

Here are a few of my favorite sites. Some are free, some are pay services.

FantasyPros.com
4for4.com
RotoWorld.com
FantasyGuru.com
FootballGuys.com

Good luck, my friend.

Read page narrative Matthew Hill Rankings provided by Matthew Hill on Fantasy Pros       
Player rankings provided by Matthew Hill         

2017 Draft Rankings

(Updated 7/22/17)
#Player (Team/Bye)Posvs. ECRvs. ADP
1David Johnson ARI (8)RB00
2Le'Veon Bell PIT (9)RB00
3Antonio Brown PIT (9)WR00
4Ezekiel Elliott DAL (6)RB00
5A.J. Green CIN (6)WR+3+3
6Jordy Nelson GB (8)WR+5+7
7Odell Beckham Jr. NYG (8)WR-2-2
8LeSean McCoy BUF (6)RB+1+2
9Devonta Freeman ATL (5)RB+3+2
10Michael Thomas NO (5)WR+3+2
11Jay Ajayi MIA (11)RB+5+5
12Melvin Gordon LAC (9)RB-2-3
13Julio Jones ATL (5)WR-7-7
14Mike Evans TB (11)WR-7-7
15Jordan Howard CHI (9)RB+20
16Dez Bryant DAL (6)WR+2+4
17Isaiah Crowell CLE (9)RB+14+19
18Demaryius Thomas DEN (5)WR+6+11
19T.Y. Hilton IND (11)WR-5-5
20Doug Baldwin SEA (6)WR0+5
21Travis Kelce KC (10)TE+11+10
22Amari Cooper OAK (10)WR-3-5
23DeMarco Murray TEN (8)RB-8-5
24DeAndre Hopkins HOU (7)WR-20
25Brandin Cooks NE (9)WR+4+1
26Danny Woodhead BAL (10)RB+27+52
27Todd Gurley LAR (8)RB-4-8
28Davante Adams GB (8)WR+7+13
29Alshon Jeffery PHI (10)WR-1+10
30Leonard Fournette JAC (8)RB-3-8
31Golden Tate DET (7)WR+3+17
32Julian Edelman NE (9)WR+19+21
33Marshawn Lynch OAK (10)RB+8-3
34Greg Olsen CAR (11)TE+13+15
35Aaron Rodgers GB (8)QB+2-12
36Jarvis Landry MIA (11)WR0+1
37Tom Brady NE (9)QB+6+1
38Allen Robinson JAC (8)WR-12-10
39Lamar Miller HOU (7)RB-14-12
40Michael Crabtree OAK (10)WR-2+3
41Carlos Hyde SF (11)RB+3+3
42Tevin Coleman ATL (5)RB+19+15
43Tyreek Hill KC (10)WR+17+7
44C.J. Anderson DEN (5)RB+15+16
45Delanie Walker TEN (8)TE+33+44
46Drew Brees NO (5)QB+3-1
47Stefon Diggs MIN (9)WR+9+7
48Emmanuel Sanders DEN (5)WR+2+15
49Keenan Allen LAC (9)WR-19-16
50Jordan Reed WAS (5)TE-8-8
51Bilal Powell NYJ (11)RB+1+18
52Christian McCaffrey CAR (11)RB-7-17
53Spencer Ware KC (10)RB+4-2
54Matt Ryan ATL (5)QB+9+10
55Larry Fitzgerald ARI (8)WR-160
56Ty Montgomery GB (8)RB-10-10
57Rob Gronkowski NE (9)TE-36-36
58Andrew Luck IND (11)QB0-6
59Jamison Crowder WAS (5)WR-40
60Theo Riddick DET (7)RB+12+19
61Ameer Abdullah DET (7)RB+6-3
62Sammy Watkins BUF (6)WR-29-30
63Kirk Cousins WAS (5)QB+19+31
64Frank Gore IND (11)RB+7+22
65Adrian Peterson NO (5)RB+21+17
66Jimmy Graham SEA (6)TE0-4
67Russell Wilson SEA (6)QB+30
68Terrelle Pryor WAS (5)WR-28-28
69Willie Snead NO (5)WR-4-4
70Pierre Garcon SF (11)WR+3+7
71Ben Roethlisberger PIT (9)QB+28+31
72Mark Ingram NO (5)RB-18-11
73Cameron Meredith CHI (9)WR+11+20
74Joe Mixon CIN (6)RB-26-40
75Quincy Enunwa NYJ (11)WR+43+40
76Donte Moncrief IND (11)WR-8-8
77Eric Ebron DET (7)TE+19+41
78Paul Perkins NYG (8)RB+2-5
79Marcus Mariota TEN (8)QB+6+19
80Martavis Bryant PIT (9)WR-16-33
81LeGarrette Blount PHI (10)RB+19+10
82Dalvin Cook MIN (9)RB-20-26
83Brandon Marshall NYG (8)WR-9-17
84Tyler Eifert CIN (6)TE-9-1
85C.J. Prosise SEA (6)RB+18+23
86Jeremy Maclin BAL (10)WR-5+11
87Kyle Rudolph MIN (9)TE-11-11
88Dak Prescott DAL (6)QB+17+17
89Kelvin Benjamin CAR (11)WR-10-18
90Mike Gillislee NE (9)RB-13-18
91Corey Coleman CLE (9)WR+11+13
92Zach Ertz PHI (10)TE-5+8
93Philip Rivers LAC (9)QB+16+16
94Eddie Lacy SEA (6)RB-25-24
95DeSean Jackson TB (11)WR-12-7
96Alvin Kamara NO (5)RB+51+50
97Mike Wallace BAL (10)WR+10+28
98Jordan Matthews PHI (10)WR0+12
99Jameis Winston TB (11)QB-10-14
100Thomas Rawls SEA (6)RB+58+44
101Giovani Bernard CIN (6)RB+30+39
102Robert Woods LAR (8)WR+38+62
103Matthew Stafford DET (7)QB+8+16
104Kenny Britt CLE (9)WR-12+12
105Tyrell Williams LAC (9)WR+3-4
106Kareem Hunt KC (10)RB+7-11
107Jason Witten DAL (6)TE+22+65
108Eric Decker TEN (8)WR-18-9
109Jack Doyle IND (11)TE+7+18
110Kenneth Dixon BAL (10)RB
111Eli Manning NYG (8)QB+16+18
112Tyler Lockett SEA (6)WR+37+43
113Randall Cobb GB (8)WR-18-17
114Robert Kelley WAS (5)RB+11-1
115Julius Thomas MIA (11)TE+36+41
116Duke Johnson CLE (9)RB-12-10
117Derek Carr OAK (10)QB-16-37
118C.J. Fiedorowicz HOU (7)TE+25+75
119John Brown ARI (8)WR-25-12
120Doug Martin TB (11)RB-27-45
121Latavius Murray MIN (9)RB+11+2
122Cam Newton CAR (11)QB-34-41
123Martellus Bennett GB (8)TE-32-33
124Sterling Shepard NYG (8)WR+11+12
125Samaje Perine WAS (5)RB-5-22
126Rishard Matthews TEN (8)WR-9-2
127Tyrod Taylor BUF (6)QB-6+5
128Jonathan Stewart CAR (11)RB-6-6
129Breshad Perriman BAL (10)WR+10+9
130Darren Sproles PHI (10)RB-7+1
131Carson Palmer ARI (8)QB+13+17
132Devante Parker MIA (11)WR-35-45
133Seattle Seahawks SEA (6)DST+8+28
134Matt Forte NYJ (11)RB-22-14
135Kevin White CHI (9)WR+2-2
136Hunter Henry LAC (9)TE-26-44
137Andy Dalton CIN (6)QB-9-7
138Denver Broncos DEN (5)DST-2+9
139Will Fuller HOU (7)WR+23+34
140Derrick Henry TEN (8)RB-21-66
141Coby Fleener NO (5)TE-11+2
142Marvin Jones DET (7)WR-16-25
143O.J. Howard TB (11)TE+18-22
144Houston Texans HOU (7)DST+1+13
145DeAndre Washington OAK (10)RB+33+63
146Charles Clay BUF (6)TE+52+75
147Adam Thielen MIN (9)WR-41-36
148Cole Beasley DAL (6)WR+6+12
149Jeremy Hill CIN (6)RB+3-8
150Arizona Cardinals ARI (8)DST+13+27
151Charles Sims TB (11)RB+14+63
152Carson Wentz PHI (10)QB-6-13
153Josh Doctson WAS (5)WR-15-18
154Joe Flacco BAL (10)QB+22+20
155Kansas City Chiefs KC (10)DST-2+3
156Austin Hooper ATL (5)TE0+3
157Jamaal Williams GB (8)RB+11-29
158Ted Ginn NO (5)WR-24+5
159James White NE (9)RB-44-47
160Los Angeles Rams LAR (8)DST+47+86
161Taylor Gabriel ATL (5)WR+12-12
162Cameron Brate TB (11)TE-20+16
163Darren McFadden DAL (6)RB+38+22
164Eli Rogers PIT (9)WR+62+153
165Jonathan Williams BUF (6)RB+37-15
166Marqise Lee JAC (8)WR-6+17
167Dion Lewis NE (9)RB+20
168Blake Bortles JAC (8)QB-20-23
169Tyler Boyd CIN (6)WR+41+84
170Minnesota Vikings MIN (9)DST-6+1
171Stephen Gostkowski NE (9)K+3-6
172Rex Burkhead NE (9)RB+18+15
173Malcolm Mitchell NE (9)WR+33+6
174Justin Tucker BAL (10)K+1-5
175Antonio Gates LAC (9)TE-18+35
176Steven Hauschka BUF (6)K+47+83
177Ryan Tannehill MIA (11)QB-7-9
178New England Patriots NE (9)DST-6-12
179Tavon Austin LAR (8)WR+13+19
180Shane Vereen NYG (8)RB-9+47
181Mason Crosby GB (8)K+16+48
182Jesse James PIT (9)TE+26+20
183Jared Cook OAK (10)TE+11+7
184Chandler Catanzaro NYJ (11)K+84+156
185Jamaal Charles DEN (5)RB-52-71
186Carolina Panthers CAR (11)DST+1+29
187Brian Hoyer SF (11)QB+38+33
188Zach Miller CHI (9)TE+3+64
189New York Jets NYJ (11)DST+94+140
190Dan Bailey DAL (6)K-5+6
191J.J. Nelson ARI (8)WR-7-21
192Jalen Richard OAK (10)RB-13-17
193Nelson Agholor PHI (10)WR+88+121
194Cincinnati Bengals CIN (6)DST+22+91
195Sam Bradford MIN (9)QB+1-9
196Vernon Davis WAS (5)TE+108+97
197Branden Oliver LAC (9)RB+97+103
198Baltimore Ravens BAL (10)DST+37+35
199Laquon Treadwell MIN (9)WR+23-15
200Oakland Raiders OAK (10)DST+61+39
201Vance McDonald SF (11)TE+69+95
202Brandon McManus DEN (5)K+78+52
203Dorial Green-Beckham FA WR+131+141
204Will Tye NYG (8)TE+132
205Pittsburgh Steelers PIT (9)DST+51+27
206Green Bay Packers GB (8)DST+84+84
207Graham Gano CAR (11)K+51+41
208Jared Goff LAR (8)QB+45+29
209Devin Funchess CAR (11)WR+5+31
210Travis Benjamin LAC (9)WR+56+66
211Mohamed Sanu ATL (5)WR-23-4
212D'Onta Foreman HOU (7)RB-3-12
213Allen Hurns JAC (8)WR-27-32
214Buffalo Bills BUF (6)DST+43+29
215Chris Conley KC (10)WR+4-2
216T.J. Yeldon JAC (8)RB-27-17
217Chris Thompson WAS (5)RB-67-63
218Adam Vinatieri IND (11)K-14+16
219Torrey Smith PHI (10)WR-1+48
220Sebastian Janikowski OAK (10)K+43+29
221Chris Hogan NE (9)WR+20-16
222Cairo Santos KC (10)K-1+23
223Jacquizz Rodgers TB (11)RB-57-81
224Jaelen Strong HOU (7)WR+126
225Detroit Lions DET (7)DST+95+113
226Alex Smith KC (10)QB-27-14
227Jeremy McNichols TB (11)RB+80-3
228Ryan Mathews PHI (10)RB-4-31
229Bruce Ellington SF (11)WR+129
230Matt Prater DET (7)K-13+8
231Tim Hightower SF (11)RB0+47
232Brian Quick WAS (5)WR+132
233Devontae Booker DEN (5)RB-1-24
234Chris Boswell PIT (9)K+16+23
235Kenny Stills MIA (11)WR-80-55
236Marlon Mack IND (11)RB-55-83
237Jacksonville Jaguars JAC (8)DST-32-6
238Mike Nugent FA K+117
239David Njoku CLE (9)TE-57-63
240Michael Floyd MIN (9)WR+29+82
241James Conner PIT (9)RB-14-59
242Roberto Aguayo TB (11)K+109+19
243Evan Engram NYG (8)TE-63-92
244A.J. Derby DEN (5)TE+11
245Devin Smith NYJ (11)WR
246Philadelphia Eagles PHI (10)DST-3-11
247Kendall Wright CHI (9)WR-9+61
248Dwayne Allen NE (9)TE-37-53
249Miami Dolphins MIA (11)DST+24+32
250Jeremy Kerley SF (11)WR-35+63
251Kamar Aiken IND (11)WR+14+26
252Rashard Higgins CLE (9)WR+115
253Tajae Sharpe TEN (8)WR+31+10
254Blair Walsh SEA (6)K+43+16
255Phillip Dorsett IND (11)WR+63+57
256Anquan Boldin FA WR+42+51
257Seth Roberts OAK (10)WR+36+70
258Robby Anderson NYJ (11)WR-46-8
259Dontrelle Inman LAC (9)WR+30+50
260Paul Richardson SEA (6)WR+16+14